Wednesday, 21 September 2005
Fools Save for others!!!
Japanese save a lot. They do not spend much. Also Japan exports far more than it imports. Has an annual trade surplus of over $100 billions. Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.
Americans spend, save little. Also US import more than it exports. Has an annual trade deficit of over $400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered strong and trusted to get stronger. But where from do Americans get money to spend? They borrow from Japan, China and even India. Virtually others save for the US to spend. Global savings are mostly invested in US; in dollars. India itself keeps its foreign currency assets of over $50 billions in US securities. China has sunk over $160 billion in US securities. Japan's stakes in US securities is in trillions.
Result:
The US has taken over $5 trillion from the world. So, as the world saves for the US, Americans spend freely. Today, to keep the US consumption going, that is for the US economy to work, other countries have to remit $180 billion every quarter, which is $2 billion a day, to the US! Otherwise the US economy would go for a six. So will the global
economy. The result will be no different if US consumers begin consuming less.
A Chinese economist asked a neat question. Who has invested more, US in China, or China in US? The US has invested in China less than half of what China has invested in US. The same is the case with India. We have invested in US over $50 billion. But the US has invested less than $20 billion in India. Why the world is after US? The secret lies in the American spending, that they hardly save. In fact they use their credit cards to spend their future income.
That the US spends is what makes it attractive to export to the US. So US imports more than what it exports year after year.
The result:
The world is dependent on US consumption for its growth. By its deepening culture of consumption, the US has habituated the world to feed on US consumption. But as the US needs money to finance its consumption, the world provides the money. It's like a shopkeeper providing the money to a customer so that the customer keeps buying from the shop. If the customer will not buy, the shop won't have business, unless the shopkeeper funds him. The US is like the lucky customer. And the world is like the helpless shopkeeper financier. Who is America's biggest shopkeeper financier? Japan of course. Yet it's Japan which is regarded as weak. Modern economists complain that Japanese do not spend, so they do not grow. To force the Japanese to spend, the Japanese government exerted it self, reduced the savings rates, even charged the savers. Even then the Japanese did not spend (habits don't change, even with taxes, do they?). Their traditional postal savings alone is over$1.2 trillions, about three times the Indian GDP. Thus, savings, far from being the strength of Japan, has become its pain.
Hence, what is the lesson?
That is, a nation cannot grow unless the people spend, not save. Not just spend, but borrow and spend. Dr. Jagdish Bhagwati, the famous Indian-born economist in the US, told Manmohan Singh that Indians wastefully save. Ask them to spend, on imported cars and, seriously, even on cosmetics! This will put India on a growth curve. "Saving is sin, and spending is virtue." Before you follow this neo economics, get some fools to save so that you can borrow from them and spend.
17:12 Permalink | Comments (5) | Email this
Comments
Well this piece is certainly grist to the mill stuff.
Consider that US decided to invade Iraq just when it shifted to Euro.
Or the EU dreams of becoming a economic power with its EURO.
US sure knows to use its dollars.I will say let's all shift our trade from dollars to Euros.
Gone are the days when we were told in boring economics classes saving is in the national interest
With our savings Govt . will bring development.
Truth is with our savings Govt. feeds itself and bureaucracy.
I will say save but do remember to invest it don't leave it for your Grand Children.
Posted by: Santosh Kumar | Friday, 23 September 2005
And before I forget keep up the Good Work
Posted by: Santosh | Friday, 23 September 2005
Nice article there Mr. Sarsij.
BTW This is Rahul of ur Yahoo E-Books Community
Posted by: Rahul | Wednesday, 28 September 2005
Fools Save for others!!! ...
I think this topic goes very well with the story posted, but thats a truth & everybody knows that it happenes.
But the real problem is not that Indians are fools or the Japanese are fools that they are saving for the US, it is for the fact that people who are financing the US are not adventurous or do they have the gut feeling to do everything in the opposite direction because we know our limits ain't webut who can help in this regard our society will develop in a slow phase as due to the mass unawareness in the our region, we have to curb that to play in an equivalent market to have a healthy competition and i bet everyone would like that ( it's even more challenging ).
Posted by: Abhishek Ranjan | Wednesday, 05 October 2005
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